DR. LOCKERBIE’S 2024 PRESIDENTIAL ELECTION FORECAST

Brad Lockerbie, one of many political science election forecasters, nailed it again. Of all the academics who published their forecasts in PS: Political Science and Politics, his model of economic pessimism driving election outcomes came the closest to the actual outcome. He forecast that Harris would get 49.1% of the two-party vote. According to the latest results, with California finally finished counting, Harris received 49.19% of the national two-party vote. We should also note that his forecast was right on the money while historian Allan Lichtman, who claims to have a near-perfect record, forecasted that Harris would win easily. In short, political science beats history once again.

See: https://tinyurl.com/yckyfuvv

CONSTITUTIONAL TRIVIA

The Great Compromise saved the Constitutional Convention, and, probably, the Union. Authored by Connecticut delegate Roger Sherman, it called for proportional representation in the House, and one representative per state in the Senate (this was later changed to two.) The compromise passed 5-to-4, with one state, Massachusetts, “divided.”

See https://bit.ly/4do6OjZ

PRESIDENTIAL TRIVIA

Who was the first president to ride in a car to his inauguration?

Warren G. Harding (1865-1923), 29th President. On March 4, 1921, Harding became the first president to ride to and from his inauguration in an automobile.

(From https://bit.ly/4bRS2RO)

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