Month: September 2020

Dr. Samantha Mosier, with Arbindra Rimal, and Megan Ruxton, recently published an article titled “A Song of Disconnect and Disappointment: The Missing Choir of Constituent Preferences in GMO-Labeling Policy Outcomes” in the Review of Policy Research (37(4):511-534). 

Abstract: This article focuses on the degree of policy congruence, and by extension policy responsiveness, of U.S. federal- and state-level GMO labeling laws from 2011–2016. Utilizing consumer survey data, evidence overwhelmingly demonstrates consumers prefer clear text-based indication if food products contain genetically modified ingredients. However, the federal law adopted in 2016 mandates GMO labeling but with exceptions permitted to clear on-package text labeling. The results of this study demonstrate that consumer preferences were not adequately represented at the federal level and were misaligned with state policy activities as captured in the aggregate outcome. State legislatures were actively proposing mandatory legislation with only a few cases of success, which did not adequately represent the wishes of the people. Given the misalignment and overall policy incongruence, the consequences of pending federal law are discussed in light of why the voices of the consumer choir were not heard by lawmakers.

Dr. Brad Lockerbie has applied his academic expertise in the world outside the academy. He served as a consultant in several lawsuits involving absentee ballots. These included suits with regard to collection of ballots, signature requirements, and poll watchers. The national Republican party and state parties in Florida, North Carolina, and Pennsylvania made use of his academic training to ensure free and fair elections.

In this text, Jonathan D. Rosen and Hanna Samir Kassab explore the linkage between weak institutions and government policies designed to combat drug trafficking, organized crime, and violence in Latin America.

Using quantitative analysis to examine criminal violence and publicly available survey data from the Latin American Public Opinion Project (LAPOP) to conduct regression analysis, individual case studies on Colombia, Mexico, El Salvador, and Nicaragua highlight the major challenges that governments face and how they have responded to various security issues. Rosen and Kassab later turn their attention to the role of external criminal actors in the region and offer policy recommendations and lessons learned. Questions explored include:

• What are the major trends in organized crime in this country?
• How has organized crime evolved over time?
• Who are the major criminal actors?
• How has state fragility contributed to organized crime and violence (and vice versa)?
• What has been the government’s response to drug trafficking and organized crime?
• Have such policies contributed to violence?

Crime, Violence and the State in Latin America is suitable to both undergraduate and graduate courses in criminal justice, international relations, political science, comparative politics, international political economy, organized crime, drug trafficking, and violence.

Available at Amazon

The Center for Survey Research released a report of a poll taken after the Democratic Party and Republican Party conventions (August 29-30) on the 2020 election in North Carolina. The poll’s results appeared on several websites including Politico, MSNBC, Bloomberg, The Hill, The National Review, The Charlotte Observer, and The Daily Reflector. The Center’s director, Peter Francia, also appeared on evening television with WXII in Winston-Salem and WNCT in Greenville (September 1), as well as the radio program, Talk of the Town (September 2) to discuss the poll’s results with host Henry Hinton.

To all involved in the Center’s work: Nice job! In just a couple of short years, the Center is now recognized as a major player in the polling industry.

Brad Lockerbie recently presented his work on presidential and congressional election forecasting at the Annual Meeting of the American Political Science Association. He forecasts continued divided government with the Democrats retaining and enhancing their control of the House and Trump winning reelection.

His forecast in 2016 was right on the money. He was within three-quarters of a percentage point of the actual popular vote.

Dr. Mosier has recently published an article examining various policy responses by government leaders during the pandemic.

Abstract: Policy responses to the Covid-19 pandemic are important to understanding how some governments have been able to effectively combat the crises. Early efforts by many government leaders included policy actions to effectively shut-down society through stay-at-home or shelter-in-place orders. Drawing from several key decision-making theories, this article examines the process of issuing stay-at-home orders in two U.S. States, California and Colorado, with a specific focus on three vice industries: liquor, cannabis, and firearms. Since the beginning of the pandemic, the liquor, marijuana, and gun industry have experienced a dramatic increase in sales. Using policy documents, news articles, and available resources, several decision-making theories help explain the context for how essential businesses were defined in California and Colorado’s stay-at-home orders. As the evidence suggests, a combination of health, economic, and political factors influenced when and how each industry was determined as essential industries. Scientific reasoning alone was not the determining factor for if these vice industries were permitted to continue operations during a global pandemic. As the globe continues to combat Covid-19 this paper sheds some light on balancing of political and economic concerns despite the need to protect public health.

Opp, Susan M. and Samantha L. Mosier. 2020. Liquor, Marijuana, and Guns: Essential Services or Political Tools? Policy Design and Practice

DOI: 10.1080/25741292.2020.1810397