DR. LOCKERBIE’S 2024 PRESIDENTIAL ELECTION FORECAST

Brad Lockerbie, one of many political science election forecasters, nailed it again. Of all the academics who published their forecasts in PS: Political Science and Politics, his model of economic pessimism driving election outcomes came the closest to the actual outcome. He forecast that Harris would get 49.1% of the two-party vote. According to the latest results, with California finally finished counting, Harris received 49.19% of the national two-party vote. We should also note that his forecast was right on the money while historian Allan Lichtman, who claims to have a near-perfect record, forecasted that Harris would win easily. In short, political science beats history once again.

See: https://tinyurl.com/yckyfuvv

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