Jody Baumgartner
DR. LOCKERBIE’S 2024 PRESIDENTIAL ELECTION FORECAST
Brad Lockerbie, one of many political science election forecasters, nailed it again. Of all the academics who published their forecasts in PS: Political Science and Politics, his model of economic pessimism driving election outcomes came the closest to the actual outcome. He forecast that Harris would get 49.1% of the two-party vote. According to the latest results, with California finally finished counting, Harris received 49.19% of the national two-party vote. We should also note that his forecast was right on the money while historian Allan Lichtman, who claims to have a near-perfect record, forecasted that Harris would win easily. In short, political science beats history once again.
PRESIDENTIAL TRIVIA (SORT OF…)
“How President Tyler, Born In 1790, Still Has Two Living Grandsons”
CONSTITUTIONAL TRIVIA
The Great Compromise saved the Constitutional Convention, and, probably, the Union. Authored by Connecticut delegate Roger Sherman, it called for proportional representation in the House, and one representative per state in the Senate (this was later changed to two.) The compromise passed 5-to-4, with one state, Massachusetts, “divided.”
NEW BOOK BY DR. BAUMGARTNER: “Modern Political Caricatures: ‘I Can See Russia from My House'”
This book examines humorous depictions of political leaders in the television era. Both humorous and informative, the book allows readers to learn more about the leaders examined within and how they acquired their popular reputations and how their careers were impacted.
LAST DAY OF CLASS TODAY (Mon., Dec. 2)!
Reading Day is tomorrow, Tues., Dec. 3, and exams start Wed., Dec. 4.
GOOD LUCK!
PRESIDENTIAL TRIVIA
Who was the first president to ride in a car to his inauguration?
Warren G. Harding (1865-1923), 29th President. On March 4, 1921, Harding became the first president to ride to and from his inauguration in an automobile.
(From https://bit.ly/4bRS2RO)
WE – THE DEPT. OF POL. SCIENCE – WERE EXCITED AND HONORED
To be part of the dedication of the Michael and Susan McShane Courtyard and Garden near the Brewster Building. Many thanks to all involved, especially the McShanes!